IPL 2019 Prediction Application 

The winner is selected based on their head-to-head win loss ratio

In the above image we can clearly see SRH has won 1 match more in their head-to-head encounters with RR. Based on this the system assigns higher probability of victory to SRH.

Although system assigns higher probability, it does not mean that team will definitely win. Cricket like most sports involves a lot of skill and a bit of luck. No amount of data can accurately predict that. Hence there is a chance of team with lower probability to win, as can be seen in the image above. DC, clearly have lower probability of victory, but the predictions says they will win. But if seen over 100 simulations of the same match, they will win lesser number of matches.

If the head-to-head ratio is even, like in the above case, then victor of this match is 50-50 split decision.

As already mention cricket like most sports involves a lot of skill and a bit of luck, you never know who wins the match till the last ball is bowled.

This prediction is done based on a player's cost to the team (it is similar to salary of the player)

I. Select the bowling composition

A team can have 2 spinners and 3 pacers or 3 spinners and 2 pacers depending on the pitch. All 8 pitches have been assigned spin favoring or pace favoring according to their data.

II. Select the required number of spinners

From the entire squad of a particular team, the highest paid spinners are added to playing XI. The number of spinners varies based on the pitch.

III. Fill the remaining slots with pacers

A playing XI needs a minimum of 5 bowlers. So the remaining slots are filled with pacers. The highest paid pacers are added to the playing XI.

IV. Wicket-Keeper selection

Of all the wicket-keepers in the squad, the highest paid player is added to playing XI.

V. Top order selection

Of all the top-order players available, the highest paid and not already in playing XI are added to playing XI. 3 slots are assigned for top-order top order .

VI. Middle order selection

The remaining slots of the playing XI are filled with the highest paid players not already in the playing XI. There are 2 slots in this.

VII. Overseas players rule

After 11 players are selected, the overseas players are identified and prioritized based on their pay. The least paid overseas players (if their count crosses 4) are replaced with Indian players, not already in the playing XI, from the same category that the overseas players were selected from. 

There are the steps to used to predict the playing XI of every match. It may not be 100% correct, as a lot of real-time factors (injuries, morale, form,e.t.c.) weigh-in during selection of the playing XI.